Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 6.810555 7.503180 8.242173 9.090410 10.038489 11.067048 12.269431
2025-11-23 5.695269 6.642750 7.720480 9.041615 10.623587 12.464555 14.780060
2025-11-30 4.998622 6.125571 7.481059 9.242312 11.485931 14.269240 18.015681
2025-12-07 4.345838 5.557349 7.086851 9.178518 11.993861 15.693651 20.992749
2025-12-14 3.778510 5.013805 6.640648 8.968178 12.258781 16.814247 23.720729
2025-12-21 3.379803 4.636635 6.356412 8.920648 12.714334 18.228053 27.049586
2025-12-28 3.135256 4.437193 6.283892 9.147341 13.571938 20.312424 31.680342
2026-01-04 2.915708 4.244787 6.192798 9.324124 14.361861 22.382431 36.602601
2026-01-11 2.693015 4.021260 6.026370 9.356613 14.915945 24.134944 41.261164
2026-01-18 2.473716 3.778997 5.802652 9.265126 15.244117 25.539295 45.516811
2026-01-25 2.275026 3.548840 5.572679 9.132062 15.475276 26.790573 49.674236
2026-02-01 2.099689 3.339407 5.354476 8.990894 15.666800 27.981883 53.893512
2026-02-08 1.945084 3.153645 5.163195 8.884505 15.924131 29.360563 58.803361
2026-02-15 1.816076 2.999839 5.012027 8.833346 16.278202 30.975744 64.515260
2026-02-22 1.738468 2.927438 4.995179 9.026553 17.127097 33.699711 73.191011
2026-03-01 1.630037 2.791357 4.851818 8.963051 17.453361 35.385182 79.814556
2026-03-08 1.512614 2.629505 4.647021 8.757437 17.459394 36.379863 84.971593
2026-03-15 1.427402 2.519558 4.528782 8.710659 17.792918 38.143178 92.402140
2026-03-22 1.382395 2.480619 4.541320 8.931009 18.734387 41.439270 104.546572
2026-03-29 1.334747 2.432655 4.531679 9.102873 19.588096 44.659305 117.221588
2026-04-05 1.275160 2.356925 4.460428 9.134368 20.120574 47.172673 128.467152
2026-04-12 1.207703 2.260729 4.339993 9.045253 20.354839 48.965144 137.989219
2026-04-19 1.141529 2.162410 4.207451 8.915699 20.474492 50.477063 147.008001